美国安全与新兴技术中心CSET2024人工智能与劳动力培训的未来研究报告英文版44页

Issue BriefDecember 2024December 2024AI and the Future of Workforce TrainingAuthors Matthias Oschinski Ali Crawford Maggie WuCenter for Security and Emerging Technology | 1 Executive Summary The emergence of artificial intelligence (AI) as a general-purpose technology is poised to transform work across a variety of industries and job roles. Previous waves of technological change mainly led to job displacement and wage pressures for blue-collar workers while enhancing productivity and wages for white-collar workers. In contrast, AI’s impact could be more pervasive across all occupational categories, including knowledge workers and those with advanced education. Recent studies indicate that up to 80 percent of U.S. workers might have at least 10 percent of their work activities affected by large language models, with approximately 19 percent of workers potentially seeing half or more of their work activities impacted. The nature of this transformation depends largely on two factors: th