美国安全与新兴技术中心2024预测生物风险战略生物安全政策工具包英文版页

Issue BriefDecember 2024Anticipating Biological RiskA Toolkit for Strategic Biosecurity PolicyAuthor Steph Batalis Center for Security and Emerging Technology | 1 Executive Summary Biological threats from pathogens and toxins have the capacity to cause significant and widespread harm, regardless of whether they are natural or engineered, intentional or unintentional. Although recent news and policy discussions have focused on biological threats that are enhanced or enabled by artificial intelligence (AI), pathogens and toxins can already cause harm without this emerging technology. To counter biological threats regardless of source, policymakers need a range of governance tools and mitigation measures upon which to draw. The first step in building such a toolkit is to understand what the process resulting in biological harm looks like for various scenarios. Then a suite of policy options can be assembled to intervene at points throughout the process. This report addresses two gen